Update on all the
craziness about to land on SoCal in the next week! Wednesday
will start off with waist high surf but later in the day we’ll see a new NW
groundswell make its way to our shores Thursday.
Surf will pick up overnight to
shoulder/HH with some HH+ standouts at the better winter breaks. Conditions will already get a little dicey
with mild overnight rain and ESE winds picking up overnight. That swell peaks through the night and into Friday morning. As it tapers off the weather pretty much
takes over for the rest of the weekend and the skies unleash on Southern
California giving us some much needed rain…and lots of it! Bottom line is…rain, wind, rain, wind and
more rain for Friday and Saturday. As
far as surf goes the NW groundswell tapers off through the day Friday but the
next big storm that’s getting sucked up into us from the south (the good ol’
Pineapple Express) is going to bring a huge WSW windswell. Saturday
waves start in the shoulder/HH range and quickly increase into the 3-4’
overhead range by nightfall.
Sunday the swell peaks with DOH and DOH+ waves along our coast. Remember this will be out of the WSW so you’re
looking at summer breaks for the most direct swell but west and north facing beaches
will see plenty of their share as well. As the swell progresses there will be more west in it at it moves north. That means more large close out sets at the west facing beaches. Big surf
remains the story all day but decreases after the peak Sunday morning. We’re
still looking at OH surf by nightfall. Monday morning look for HH swell but
dropping quickly through the day and back down to waist/chest high by
nightfall. Tuesday morning is looking about the same but a nice new WNW
groundswell looks to be filling in late Tuesday with some long period and
inconsistent swell. Wednesday is going to see some larger surf with size gradually
picking up through the day to chest/shoulder high. We may see more inclement weather however so
we’ll have to watch that and see how that all pans out next week.
Weather is really
the big driver this weekend. Three waves
of storms will make landfall over the next 5 days. The first band arrives Wed night with late
rain overnight and into Thursday morning.
Light ESE winds come along with that one so conditions should still be
surfable especially at some of the breaks that hold those nice S winds. Friday is D-Day! That second band of rain
moves in with heavy rain starting in the pre-dawn hours and gusting winds
through the day in the 25-30mph range and gusts to 40mph. Really heavy rain all day will be accompanied
by the occasional thunderstorm. Probably
a good day to buy your Netflix membership and invest heavily in popcorn and hot
chocolate! More heavy rain through the
night and for most of Saturday with slightly calmer winds but still plenty
gusty. The third wave of rain is much
lighter showers Saturday evening and through Sunday. Winds back way down and
blow moderately out of the east. Tough
to say when conditions will be surfable after all those gusty winds but Sunday
afternoon might be a good call. Forecast
looks like S winds for the start of the work week. Light overnight Sunday and into Monday before
picking up in the late morning and through the night.
Water temps in the
high 50s/low 60s. New moon Saturday will
be causing some extreme tides. Big highs
in the early morning and super drained out lows in the early afternoon before
heading back up for the late evening push.
Look for flooding in the low lying areas on Sat and Sun as that huge
swell moves in and morning high tide pushes.
So, while the best
days are looking like early Thursday, midday Sunday and next Monday morning
please remember that the water quality will be extremely questionable.
Waves will also be quite large so be smart and surf away from
lagoon/river mouths and storm drains and in size that fits your ability.
Stay wet San
Diego!
Mish
Tides
for La Jolla (Scripps Institution Wharf) starting with February 26, 2014.
Day High Tide
Height Sunrise Moon
Time % Moon
/Low Time
Feet Sunset Visible
W 26 Low 12:13 AM 1.5 6:20 AM
Rise 4:03 AM 16
26
High 6:30 AM
5.8
5:44 PM Set 3:10 PM
26
Low 1:19 PM
-1.2
26
High 7:41 PM
4.3
Th 27
Low 1:05 AM
0.9 6:19 AM Rise
4:51 AM 8
27
High 7:19 AM
6.1
5:45 PM Set 4:18 PM
27
Low 1:58 PM
-1.4
27
High 8:17 PM
4.8
F 28
Low 1:52 AM
0.4 6:18 AM Rise
5:35 AM 3
28
High 8:06 AM
6.2
5:45 PM Set 5:27 PM
28
Low 2:35 PM
-1.4
28
High 8:53 PM
5.1
Sa 1
Low 2:38 AM
0.0 6:17 AM Rise
6:17 AM 0
1
High 8:51 AM
6.0 5:46 PM Set
6:34 PM
1
Low 3:12 PM
-1.1
1
High 9:29 PM
5.3
Su 2
Low 3:24 AM
-0.1 6:15 AM Rise
6:57 AM 0
2
High 9:36 AM
5.5
5:47 PM Set 7:40 PM
2
Low 3:48 PM
-0.7
2
High 10:06 PM
5.3
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