Friday, January 18, 2013

From flat to PHAT!



Yes yes, bigger swell is on the way BUT it’s not going to be Richter down here like it is at Pipeline right now or Mavs on Sunday for THE contest (see Ocean Notes below).  Of course, the big question is WHEN WILL IT SHOW down here and how big will it be?  Well, don’t bother waking up early Saturday unless you just want to SUP on the same knee high surf we’ve had the past few days.  Conditions are gorgeous and water is unbelievably clear but it’ll start small.  At the time I’m writing this (10:30pm Friday night) the SF buoy is only 3.3’ @25 seconds.  That means the swell is juuuuuuuust barely starting to hit up there.  So, a small start to the day Saturday but things should pick up to waist/chest high by sundown BUT the swell will be incredibly inconsistent.  That means lots of lag time to chat with all your new friends in the line up.  By Sunday morning we’re looking at slightly more consistent swell and chest/shoulder high surf (and probably a billion people in the line up).  Perfect conditions with very little wind and plenty of sunshine.Surf peaking late Sunday night in the HH/OH range with spots in the southern end of the county picking up a bit more swell and top winter spots. 

Still plenty of swell and much better consistency for Martin Luther King Day (Monday) in the HH/OH range and ever so slowly tapering off.  Tuesday surf backs off more noticeably with waist/chest high surf around town and even more so on Wed with waist high surf.  The good news is after a day or so of rest we get more NW swell!  Look for a new swell to kick in around Thursday morning with some waist high surf to start the day and picking up into the chest/shoulder high range by the end of the day.  Friday surf looks to increase in size with some SW ground swell (Hun?) in the background.  The NW will definitely dominate but the SW will show.  Unfortunately it looks like we might have some inclement weather for the end of next week as well so wind and windswell might be an issue.  I’ll see how that unfolds early next week.

How about this weather?  Weren’t we all just complaining about how Arctic it was and winter…blah blah…frost on my car…too much rubber…blah blah blah?  Guess that’s come to a screaming halt with air temps in the mid70s, clear cloudless skies and hardly a whisper of wind anywhere.  Just slightly cooler air temps in the mid60s for the weekend before things really warm up again into the low/mid70s along the coast.  Near zero winds for the weekend and first part of next week and more cloudless skies.  That means some chilly nighttime temps but we shouldn’t be seeing any frost at least on the coast.  A few more clouds come midweek before that next weather system moves into town for next weekend.  Water temperatures are chilly and in the mid to low 50s.  Higher tides are in the middle of the night with decent water movement through the middle of the day.  A late morning medium low head to a medium high just before sunset for a nice little push as that swell fills in Sat night.  Tides become more extreme through the week as we head towards the full moon.

Looks like the North Pacific storm train is on the roll so look for more surf in the coming weeks. 

See you at the beach!
Mish

Ocean Notes:
1)            While most of our gardens are hibernating Surfrider is hosting the Green Gardens Group for one of their intensive training events Feb. 4-9th.  This is the professional version of green gardening!  Looks like a really neat event!  AND don’t miss the clean up at Moonlight Beach this Saturday at 9am!

2)          We all HATE to pay for luggage but have the board bag fees even more!  Here’s the latest breakdown on board breaking…er… baggage handling fees for the different airlines.

3)          Say “big winter swell” and you automatically think…CARIBBEAN right?  What?  Yup…check out this awesome killer Caribbean swell!

4)          And of course Surfline is always a key spot to check for the latest insane photos of lineups around the world. This month’s January F-Stop doesn’t disappoint!

5)          This swell is anticipated to light up Northern Cal’s famed Mavericks this weekend with heats starting at 8am on Sunday for the Maverick's Invitational .  Yeh, I wasn’t invited either but I’ll gladly watch online!

6)          Ok, now after seeing this video of a guy surfing an iceberg next to penguins I’ll never complain about cold surf…well, maybe not never but…



North County Winter Day (minus the swell)

Tides for La Jolla (Scripps Institution Wharf) starting with January 20, 2013.

www.saltwatertides.com

Day        High      Tide  Height   Sunrise    Moon  Time      % Moon
           /Low      Time    Feet    Sunset                    Visible
 
Su  20     High   4:13 AM     4.6   6:50 AM     Set  1:28 AM      58
    20      Low  11:54 AM     0.8   5:10 PM    Rise 12:14 PM
    20     High   6:25 PM     2.9
    20      Low  10:25 PM     2.3
 
M   21     High   5:07 AM     4.8   6:50 AM     Set  2:22 AM      67
    21      Low  12:38 PM     0.4   5:11 PM    Rise 12:56 PM
    21     High   7:14 PM     3.0
    21      Low  11:26 PM     2.2
 
Tu  22     High   5:53 AM     5.1   6:49 AM     Set  3:13 AM      76
    22      Low   1:12 PM     0.0   5:12 PM    Rise  1:41 PM
    22     High   7:46 PM     3.3
 
W   23      Low  12:13 AM     2.1   6:49 AM     Set  4:02 AM      83
    23     High   6:32 AM     5.2   5:13 PM    Rise  2:30 PM
    23      Low   1:41 PM    -0.3
    23     High   8:11 PM     3.5
 
Th  24      Low  12:52 AM     1.9   6:48 AM     Set  4:48 AM      89
    24     High   7:08 AM     5.5   5:14 PM    Rise  3:22 PM
    24      Low   2:09 PM    -0.6
    24     High   8:35 PM     3.7
 

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