Sunday, November 30, 2014

Rain and then waves!



Alrighty then!  I hope everyone had a spectacular Thanksgiving holiday, caught a few waves and weren’t stuck in a snowstorm or airport for too long!  We’re looking at a big change in weather this week but also some surf.  Monday will kick off the week with small knee/waist high surf around most of So Cal with rain expected Monday night.  Tuesday isn’t looking much better with small knee high SW windswell moving in with more rain expected all day but light winds.  Tuesday night and into Wed a new swell out of the WNW with some SW windswell moves into So Cal and surf picks up from waist high at dawn (poo patrol after all that rain) to about chest high in SD and waist high in OC/LA. Thursday will see more straight W short period (i.e. consistent) groundswell with HH/OH waves by midday in SD and more waist high with occasional chest high surf farther north.  Swell peaks midday and backs off fairly quickly through the second half of the day and Friday. Friday will see chest high surf in the morning with waist high surf by sunset.  Saturday and Sunday aren’t looking all that promising with knee/waist high surf.  Don’t fret however as it looks like there are more storms brewing and the jet stream is sending them our way.  Most of the storms have a significant amount of west in them which means closed out beach breaks for the west facing beaches and a bit better shape at the reefs and point breaks.

Weather is the big news this week as we prepare for a pretty good sized dose of much needed rain in So Cal.  Mostly clear skies and sunshine on Monday lead to showers Monday night, heavier showers Tuesday and Tuesday night and lighter showers again on Wed, Wed night and potentially Thursday as well.  Luckily this is a relatively warm storm as the low pressure system is dragging the moisture up from the south (“Pineapple Express”) so daytime temps will be in the high 60s still and nighttime temps will be in the low 50s.  Winds will be relatively light to moderate out of the E and then SW as the storm rolls through Tues.  Water temps are still in the mid to high 60s but I expect that to change a bit as the swell and stormwater cool things off.  Tides are super high for the dawn patrol session and drain out all morning to a near zero low tide midday as we approach the full moon on Friday. 

All of this rain is good news for California’s horrendous drought but bad news for water quality.  With the buildup of “junk” in the stormdrains and on the city streets the flow of contaminated water into the lineups will be considerable.  Be mindful of where you surf (near lagoon or river mouths or stormdrain outlets) and give the ocean some time to process the stormwater.  At least the significant amount of swell will help mix it all up but be smart and don’t surf in poo! 

Have a great rainy week with some swell late!

Stay wet (and healthy) So Cal!
Mish



Tides for La Jolla (Scripps Institution Wharf) starting with December 1, 2014.

Day        High      Tide  Height   Sunrise    Moon  Time      % Moon
           /Low      Time    Feet    Sunset                    Visible
 
M    1     High   5:01 AM     5.3   6:34 AM     Set  1:31 AM      65
     1      Low  11:37 AM     0.8   4:43 PM    Rise  1:36 PM
     1     High   5:33 PM     3.9
     1      Low  11:09 PM     1.0
 
Tu   2     High   5:44 AM     5.8   6:35 AM     Set  2:34 AM      76
     2      Low  12:29 PM     0.1   4:42 PM    Rise  2:16 PM
     2     High   6:36 PM     4.0
     2      Low  11:56 PM     1.2
 
W    3     High   6:25 AM     6.2   6:35 AM     Set  3:37 AM      84
     3      Low   1:15 PM    -0.5   4:42 PM    Rise  2:58 PM
     3     High   7:30 PM     4.0
 
Th   4      Low  12:40 AM     1.4   6:36 AM     Set  4:39 AM      91
     4     High   7:03 AM     6.3   4:42 PM    Rise  3:42 PM
     4      Low   1:57 PM    -0.8
     4     High   8:17 PM     4.0
 
F    5      Low   1:21 AM     1.5   6:37 AM     Set  5:39 AM      96
     5     High   7:40 AM     6.4   4:42 PM    Rise  4:30 PM
     5      Low   2:37 PM    -1.0
     5     High   9:01 PM     4.0

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