Thursday, November 6, 2014

Where'd the swell go? Give it time...



Howdy!  Santa Anas, 80 degree daytime temps and 69 degree water…what more could you want? Oh, right…waves.  Well, the prognosis for the immediate future is not ideal but the long term forecast is looking up.  For the next week we’re looking at new SW swell for Friday in the waist high range at the better summer spots (Yes, I know it’s November!).  Then some NW windswell makes it way into town for Sat and Sun with swell in the knee/waist high range in SD but smaller in OC and LA.  Late Sun and thru Mon we’ll see knee high waves.  Tuesday things pick up a bit with some new NW groundswell.  This isn’t all that big with waves in the waist high with chest high sets for the day. For Wed I’ve seen mixed models. Some say not much swell for Wed/Thursday but others say we’ll see the start of some nice WNW groundswell.  The focus is more on the Hawaiian Island and the Baja Peninsula but SD should see some fun waves pick up from that Aleutian system.  I’ll call it at chest/head high for late Wed and into Thursday.  Things back down Friday and quiet down for a bit.  No monster swells on the way as far as I can tell.  Northern hemi is looking more active as the southern hemi starts to quiet down as they roll into summer.

I guess the good news is that at least the weather is going to be sunny and nice.  The Santa Anas will start to break down through the weekend with air temps in the mid-70s for most of the weekend and low 70s to start the week. Much cooler sleeping temps in the mid to low 50s with clear skies and plenty of moonshine at night and sunshine during the day.  A bit more marine layer moves in Sunday night and into Monday but burns off for sunshine by midday.  Winds are offshore for the dawn patrols and switch to SW/W winds by late morning and remain a little breezy for the afternoon before the evening glassoff.  Water temps in the high 60s still for most of So Cal.  Tides are swinging big time right now as we have a GORGEOUS full moon tonight.  My favorite moon is the November Dawn Patrol moonset over the water.  Huge morning high tides slowing the tiny swell way down and drained out late afternoon lows making for great tidepool conditions especially for the wee ones!  Not a drop of rain in site!  For the latest update on the El Nino (or lack thereof) from NOAA check out:


Not a lot of macking surf in the future but some ripples to keep you in the water for when the big stuff hits!

Stay wet So Cal!
Mish

In case you missed the Green Flash sunsets lately...
here's one for you from October 24th in Cardiff.
 


Tides for La Jolla (Scripps Institution Wharf) starting with November 7, 2014.

www.saltwatertides.com
Day        High      Tide  Height   Sunrise    Moon  Time      % Moon
           /Low      Time    Feet    Sunset                    Visible
 
F    7      Low   2:20 AM     1.3   6:12 AM     Set  6:52 AM      99
     7     High   8:36 AM     6.4   4:53 PM    Rise  5:50 PM
     7      Low   3:25 PM    -0.9
     7     High   9:48 PM     4.3
 
Sa   8      Low   2:57 AM     1.6   6:13 AM     Set  7:52 AM      98
     8     High   9:12 AM     6.3   4:52 PM    Rise  6:40 PM
     8      Low   4:07 PM    -0.7
     8     High  10:36 PM     4.0
 
Su   9      Low   3:34 AM     2.0   6:14 AM     Set  8:48 AM      95
     9     High   9:49 AM     5.9   4:52 PM    Rise  7:31 PM
     9      Low   4:51 PM    -0.4
     9     High  11:28 PM     3.8
 
M   10      Low   4:14 AM     2.4   6:15 AM     Set  9:39 AM      90
    10     High  10:27 AM     5.4   4:51 PM    Rise  8:24 PM
    10      Low   5:39 PM     0.0
 
Tu  11     High  12:28 AM     3.6   6:16 AM     Set 10:25 AM      83
    11      Low   5:01 AM     2.7   4:50 PM    Rise  9:17 PM
    11     High  11:09 AM     5.0
    11      Low   6:31 PM     0.5

No comments:

Post a Comment